What is the Value Factor?
Core Principle
The Value factor identifies securities trading below their intrinsic value - companies where the market price doesn’t fully reflect the underlying business value.Simple Example: Company ABC trades at 75 per share based on assets, earnings power, and growth prospects. This represents a value opportunity.
Why Value Works
Value investing exploits several market inefficiencies:- Behavioral Biases: Investors often overreact to negative news, creating temporary undervaluations
- Short-term Focus: Market focus on quarterly results can miss long-term value creation
- Style Drift: Popular “growth” stocks receive more attention, leaving value opportunities underresearched
- Contrarian Nature: Value investing requires buying when others are selling, which is psychologically difficult
Modern Value Implementation
Beyond Traditional Metrics
Traditional value metrics like P/E and P/B ratios have limitations in today’s economy:- Traditional Metrics
- Limitations
- Modern Approach
Price-to-Earnings (P/E):
- Stock price / Earnings per share
- Lower ratios suggest better value
- Stock price / Book value per share
- Measures price relative to accounting value
- Total company value / Operating cash flow
- Accounts for debt and focuses on operations
Parallax Value Implementation
Our Value factor incorporates:Traditional Fundamentals
Core Metrics: P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA, P/Sales ratiosSector-Adjusted: Relative to industry peers rather than absolute levelsCyclically-Adjusted: Normalized for business cycle effects
Intangible Asset Adjustments
R&D Capitalization: Treat R&D spending as asset investmentBrand Values: Estimate intangible brand equity for consumer companiesPatent Values: Quantify intellectual property assets for tech companies
Cash Flow Analysis
Free Cash Flow Yield: Company’s cash generation relative to market valueDividend Sustainability: Analysis of dividend coverage and sustainabilityCapital Allocation: Quality of management’s investment decisions
Dynamic Valuation
Sum-of-Parts Analysis: Value different business segments separatelyAsset-Based Valuation: Net asset value adjusted for intangiblesDiscounted Cash Flow: Forward-looking intrinsic value estimates
Avoiding Value Traps
What Are Value Traps?
Value traps are securities that appear cheap but stay cheap (or get cheaper) due to fundamental business problems. Common characteristics:Our Multi-Factor Defense
Parallax avoids value traps by combining Value with other factors:- Value + Quality: Ensures cheap companies also have strong fundamentals
- Value + Momentum: Avoids companies with persistently negative trends
- Value + Defensive: Focuses on stable, resilient businesses
- Sector Analysis: Understands industry-specific dynamics
Quality Screens Within Value
Our Value factor includes built-in quality screens:- Earnings Quality: Consistent, predictable earnings patterns
- Balance Sheet Strength: Reasonable debt levels and working capital management
- Management Quality: Track record of value creation and capital allocation
- Competitive Position: Sustainable competitive advantages or “moats”
Value Factor Performance
Historical Evidence
- Return Patterns
- Performance Periods
- Implementation Impact
Long-Term Premium: Value stocks have outperformed growth stocks by ~3-5% annually over 90+ year periodsRisk-Adjusted Returns: Higher Sharpe ratios when implemented systematically with quality controlsGlobal Evidence: Value premiums documented across US, Europe, Japan, and emerging marketsAsset Class Breadth: Value effects observed in bonds, REITs, commodities, and currencies
Value in Different Market Environments
When Value Outperforms
Rising Interest Rates: Higher discount rates hurt long-duration growth stocks more than value stocks Economic Recovery: Value stocks often have more operational leverage to economic improvement Market Stress: Value stocks’ lower valuations provide downside protection Inflation Periods: Many value companies have pricing power and asset backingWhen Value Underperforms
Technological Disruption: Traditional valuation metrics may not capture disruption risk Ultra-Low Interest Rates: Cheap money favors high-growth companies over value plays Momentum Markets: Strong trending markets can extend overvaluations for long periods Structural Changes: Industries undergoing permanent change may appear cheap for good reasonsWant to understand how Value combines with other factors? Explore the Quality Factor next, or see how our Factor Implementation integrates all factors systematically.